Draw strength · Hand Lab
Can a combo draw be ahead of an overpair?
Enumerate every turn and river for a straight-flush draw against pocket aces.
01
Fixed setup
Is the made overpair still the mathematical favorite on this flop?
Hero cards
Opponent cards
Current board
Exact result
56.26%
Hero showdown equity
- Wins
- 1114
- 56.26%
- Ties
- 0
- 0%
- Losses
- 866
- 43.74%
1,980 legal ordered runouts were enumerated; ties contribute half the pot to each player's equity.
02
Hero final-hand distribution
03
Next-card sensitivity
Each row fixes the next card, then enumerates every remaining river. Values explain board changes; they are not betting advice.
Strongest
Weakest
04
How to interpret the result
Made hand versus draw is not the same as favorite versus underdog. Overlapping straight, flush, pair, and straight-flush routes must be counted together without double-counting cards.
The hero can win through a straight, a flush, a straight flush, or by pairing twice. Some apparent outs overlap, so adding separate draw percentages would exaggerate the result.
Pocket aces also retain redraws when the board pairs or the runout blocks one of the hero routes. Exact enumeration keeps both sides of that dependency visible.
Calculation boundary
This study fixes both known hands. It does not infer ranges, fold equity, bet sizes, position, or future action. The program removes known cards from a standard 52-card deck, enumerates every legal community-card runout, and compares final five-card hands with the practice-table evaluator. Build tests recalculate the source data.